In a recent snap general election in Portugal, the centre-right Democratic Alliance (AD), a coalition encompassing the Social Democratic Party and two conservative parties, is projected to unseat the incumbent Socialist Party (PS) but without securing an outright majority. The far-right Chega party, led by Andre Ventura, has made significant electoral gains and is poised to play a crucial role in the formation of a new government, potentially acting as a kingmaker considering its position as the third-largest party. This development follows the resignation of Prime Minister António Costa triggered by investigations into alleged irregularities within his administration.

The AD, under the leadership of Luís Montenegro, secured between 27.6% and 33% of the vote, indicating a shift towards the right in the Portuguese political landscape, a movement mirrored in other parts of the European Union. Chega’s surge in support appears driven by public discontent with traditional parties, focusing on issues such as corruption, housing affordability, and the cost of living crisis. Ventura has expressed openness to supporting a stable government, potentially with the AD, marking the end of the longstanding two-party dominance in Portugal.

The election was characterized by a voter turnout of over 63%, reflecting heightened public interest amidst the nation’s pressing economic struggles and the recent political scandal. The results necessitate a period of negotiation and coalition-building, with the far-right’s rise and its policy proposals, including controversial measures like chemical castration for sex offenders, likely influencing the tone and direction of future governance in Portugal.

As the country awaits the appointment of a new prime minister by President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa, the election outcome underscores a pivotal shift in Portugal’s political dynamics, reflecting broader trends within the EU and highlighting the electorate’s demand for change in response to socio-economic challenges and governance issues.