Angela Rayner, the Deputy Prime Minister, finds herself at the centre of speculation regarding her leadership ambitions amid claims of a coup against current Labour leader Sir Keir Starmer. Allies of Rayner are reportedly advising party members to establish a “think-tank” aimed at promoting a more assertive centre-left agenda, funded by union support and led by her on-off partner, Sam Tarry. Tarry, a former MP for Ilford South who was deselected in 2022, is seen as a figure who could significantly influence Rayner’s political trajectory.

Despite the accusations swirling around her, a source close to Rayner firmly dismissed the claims as “absolute nonsense.” This assertion comes in the wake of a contentious week where Rayner publicly clashed with Starmer and Chancellor Rachel Reeves over welfare policies, including a proposal to increase taxes on savers and high earners, and a suggestion to review child benefit eligibility for middle-class families. The tensions highlight a growing rift within the Labour Party, especially as a substantial number of their MPs, approximately 170, are reportedly considering abstaining from voting on forthcoming welfare reforms.

The discord reflects broader political turmoil following sharply declining approval ratings for the government, with Labour polls showing a striking 10-point deficit against the upstart party, Reform UK. Within the fracturing party, Rayner has emerged as a figure of authenticity among traditional Labour voters, in stark contrast to Starmer’s more metropolitan image. The competition for leadership support is intensifying, notably marked by significant local election results that revealed Labour’s vulnerability in its historic support base.

Concerns about cuts to public spending and other welfare reforms are palpable among many Labour members. Internal memos circulated show Rayner advocating for significant tax hikes to support public spending rather than implementing austerity measures, a stance that mirrors historical tensions within the party dating back to 2015. These internal differences were exacerbated by a recent leaked memo which outlined eight proposed tax increases aimed at generating substantial revenue, in stark opposition to Reeves’ approach prioritising cuts.

Amid these political manoeuvrings, Rayner’s growing prominence is also noted by various focus groups conducted by her supporters, indicating a desire for her to appear as a serious contender for leadership in future elections. Speculation about her ambitions has been rampant since the discovery of various internet domain names linked to a potential leadership bid. Furthermore, her relationship with Tarry has rekindled interest and scrutiny, especially given past controversies over personal conduct and funding disclosures.

With Labour MPs in a state of anxiety about their electoral prospects, they are increasingly looking towards Rayner for leadership, driven by a desire to return to working-class roots and away from the perceived elitism associated with Starmer’s circle. The growing schism within the party is not only affecting its electoral strategy but also challenging its core ideological foundations. The question remains whether Rayner can effectively harness this discontent into a coherent movement that could influence Labour’s direction ahead of the next general election.

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Source: Noah Wire Services