The landscape of alcohol consumption is transforming, and new insights from Atsushi Katsuki, the chief executive of Asahi Group Holdings, shed light on why this change is happening. Contrary to the prevailing narrative that concerns about health, particularly among younger generations, are driving a decline in alcohol consumption, Katsuki attributes this shift chiefly to the rise of digital entertainment. He observed that alcohol once held a significant portion of individuals’ leisure time and enjoyment, but the emergence of gaming, streaming services, and social media has diminished its role.

Speaking to the Financial Times, Katsuki stated, “Alcohol used to occupy a much bigger share of people’s entertainment and joy.” As a consequence, he believes that the broadening range of entertainment options has led to a reduction in alcohol’s share of fun and happiness. Despite a global volume decline of 1% in alcohol sales in 2023, data from IWSR indicates a 2% increase in value, demonstrating a consumer trend toward selecting more premium products while moderating overall consumption.

Asahi, which boasts a portfolio including brands like Peroni and Grolsch, sees this cultural shift as a fertile ground for growth. The company is strategically targeting demographics often overlooked within the drinking culture—gamers and social media influencers—with a focus on high-end alcoholic beverages and low-alcohol options. This approach aligns with the wider industry trend toward non-alcoholic alternatives, a market that grew to nearly $10 billion globally by 2021. In Japan, regular drinking rates among those in their twenties plummeted from 20.3% in 1999 to just 7.8% by 2019, underlining the urgency for companies like Asahi to adapt.

Katsuki, however, remains skeptical of the prevailing public health discourse suggesting that there is “no safe level” of drinking, as recently endorsed by the World Health Organization. He pointed to certain studies suggesting that moderate alcohol consumption could have benefits, including potential increases in life expectancy. This perspective spatially positions Asahi’s approach against the backdrop of health regulators advocating for stringent measures comparable to those implemented against tobacco, including mandatory warning labels on alcoholic products.

While the sector navigates these health narratives, investor sentiment remains cautious. The market reacted negatively earlier this year after a statement from the US Surgeon General highlighted the need for cancer awareness related to alcohol consumption. Nonetheless, Asahi’s stock recently soared to record levels, buoyed by Japan’s economic revival marked by rising inflation and improved financial strategies, including a new shareholder returns policy.

Regarding the unfolding dynamics of health-related lifestyle changes, concerns persist that the rise of weight-loss drugs like Ozempic could impact alcohol sales. Interestingly, Katsuki suggests that this trend might not necessarily spell doom for the industry; he theorises that as individuals’ health improves, this demographic may feel encouraged to partake in moderate alcohol consumption once more.

Beyond navigating market challenges, Katsuki has signalled a determination to expand Asahi’s presence in the US, a tantalising frontier yet unfulfilled for the company, notwithstanding the hurdles posed by trade tariffs. This ambition reflects Asahi’s broader strategic aim to ensure sustainable growth amidst both domestic declines and shifting consumer preferences globally.

In summary, the conversation around the future of alcohol consumption is complex and multifaceted. Asahi’s proactive positioning highlights a recognition of changing consumer behaviours while promoting an image of responsible drinking and exploring new market avenues. While challenges abound, the company’s response suggests a nuanced understanding of both the opportunities and risks that lie ahead in an evolving economic landscape.


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Source: Noah Wire Services