Planned changes to the funding distribution formula for children’s services in England have elicited strong criticism from councils, particularly in London, over concerns that the new approach will drastically underestimate local needs and lead to devastating cuts in vital services. The Government is consulting on reforms to the overall core council funding process, with a significant portion—about a quarter of the £30 billion allocated—earmarked for children’s services through a newly designed formula. However, London Councils warns that this formula risks significant redistribution away from the capital’s boroughs, resulting in losses equating to around £700 million over three years when accounting for all planned adjustments.

London Councils, which represents 32 boroughs, conducted modelling which indicated that if the new children’s services formula were applied unaltered, London boroughs alone would lose £1.5 billion over three years. The greater concern is that the formula fails to adequately factor in key drivers of local need, especially in more deprived areas with high living costs. The National Children’s Bureau’s research supports this view, highlighting that the formula lacks robustness and uses data and metrics that are “not correlated with need.” Crucially, high housing costs—a significant factor in London’s deprivation—are omitted from the data set, potentially skewing allocations away from some of the areas most in need. Variables designed to measure child health and parental education levels have also been criticised for their subjectivity or limited scope, and there are concerns the formula inaccurately assumes demand for children’s services in London has dropped by nearly 40%, despite boroughs recording overspends exceeding £150 million in each of the last two years.

The chair of London Councils and leader of Lambeth Council, Claire Holland, welcomed the Government’s intent to reform council funding but stressed the necessity for a “more accurate approach to assessing local levels of need.” She emphasised that ensuring fair distribution of resources based on actual need is vital to sustaining local services for vulnerable children and young people, remarking, “following 14 years of structural underfunding, restoring long-term financial stability to boroughs and the broader local government sector must be a priority.” James Shutkever, social care programme lead at the National Children’s Bureau, echoed these concerns, urging the Government to refine the formula’s methodology to ensure it is genuinely based on need and capable of supporting families effectively at a time of increased demand.

The controversy over funding allocations comes against a broader backdrop of financial strain and service cuts across local government. According to a recent report, nearly half of English councils reduced spending on family support services, which include family hubs and children’s centres, between 2023-24 and 2024-25, with overall spending dropping by 1.6% in real terms. These reductions pose challenges to meeting government targets aimed at improving school readiness and supporting children’s early development. At the same time, a report by the union Unison warned of a looming £4.3 billion shortfall facing councils in 2025, which could more than double the following year without emergency government intervention. This deficit threatens a widespread local government collapse in England, Scotland, and Wales.

London Councils has urged the Government to ensure that its funding reforms accurately reflect the capital’s high deprivation and soaring service delivery costs. It is noted that London has the highest poverty rate in the country once housing costs are accounted for, which many current deprivation metrics overlook. The organisation has welcomed recent parliamentary recommendations that housing costs must be factored into deprivation measures used to allocate funding, reinforcing the argument that ignoring these costs risks penalising deprived communities in London and other cities. While London Councils has expressed cautious optimism about the Government’s focus on prevention and the announced £250 million additional investment in children’s social care, there remains a clear call to refine how deprivation and need are measured to avoid undermining the sector further.

The Government’s Fair Funding Review 2.0 aims to simplify local government funding and make allocations fairer by better reflecting the spread of need, including for children and young people’s services. The new formula is intended to improve resource allocation across local authorities, but the current proposals have met criticism for their methodological gaps and perceived lack of transparency. London boroughs argue the formula development process has lacked sufficient scrutiny and that further consultation and collaboration are essential to create a funding system that truly supports vulnerable children and families.

As councils face increasing financial pressures and service demands, the stakes of these funding reforms are extraordinarily high. Without accurate, need-based allocations that carefully consider local circumstances like housing costs and service demand realities, vital children’s services risk deep cuts, which could exacerbate inequality and strain the broader social care landscape.

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Source: Noah Wire Services