Russia’s Central Bank has decided to maintain its key interest rate at 21%, a move that highlights growing tensions with President Vladimir Putin amid a deepening economic crisis. The decision comes as the country grapples with an inflation rate of 10.3% recorded in March, posing significant challenges to the country’s financial stability.

The Central Bank’s governor, Elvira Nabiullina, and her deputy, Alexei Zabotkin, have resisted calls from President Putin to ease monetary policy. Putin had urged the Central Bank not to “cryogenically freeze” the economy by keeping interest rates so high, advocating instead for a loosening of monetary conditions to stimulate economic activity. Despite this, Nabiullina defended the current policy, stating at a recent press conference, “We had a broad consensus to keep the rate on hold. And what we are saying is that it will be necessary to maintain tight monetary conditions for an extended period of time.”

The 21% interest rate represents its highest level in two decades and is exerting considerable pressure on Russian businesses. Many companies are finding it increasingly difficult to finance their operations. Sergey Chemezov, head of the state defence conglomerate Rostec and a former KGB colleague of Putin, warned last autumn about the dangers facing Russian enterprises under these conditions. Speaking to the RBK publication, Chemezov explained, “If we enter into contracts for products whose production cycle is more than a year, then, naturally, the maximum we receive is an advance payment of 30–40%. The remaining funds in order to produce these products must be borrowed.” He added, “At such an interest rate, all the profit that we provide is all eaten up by the interest that we are forced to pay to the bank. If we continue to work like this, then most of our enterprises will go bankrupt.”

For context, interest rates were at a much lower 7% as recently as April 2022, with expectations at that time that rates would remain steady. The Central Bank’s current stance marks a sharp departure from earlier forecasts and underlines the severity of Russia’s economic challenges.

The high interest policy aims to curb inflation but is resulting in significant financial strains on companies across the country. The disagreement between the Kremlin and the Central Bank over the best way to manage the economy underscores the difficult balancing act facing Russian leadership amid international sanctions and internal economic pressures.

Source: Noah Wire Services