Recent polls in both the United States and the United Kingdom have indicated shifts in voter sentiment, shedding light on the political landscape in each country as they approach their respective elections. In the US, President Joe Biden trails behind Donald Trump in swing states like Georgia and Arizona, according to recent polling. Pollsters, such as Dave Wasserman from the Cook Political Report, note the fluctuation in polling data, attributing it to a mix of already decided voters and a significant portion of the electorate that remains disengaged. Despite past challenges in polling accuracy, these polls are considered an important tool in understanding voter preferences, especially among those who view both major candidates negatively.

Across the Atlantic, a YouGov survey has revealed that Reform UK, under the leadership of Richard Tice, has garnered more support from Brexit voters than the Conservative Party for the first time. This marks a notable change from the 2019 general election, where approximately three-quarters of Leave voters supported the Conservatives under Boris Johnson. As of April 2-3, Reform UK commands 16% of the overall voter preference, closely trailing the Conservatives at 20%, while Labour leads with 43%. The shift in support comes amidst speculation of Nigel Farage’s possible return to politics and follows the recent defection of Lee Anderson, the first MP for Reform UK.

These polls in the US and UK highlight ongoing changes in voter sentiments, underlining the competitive nature of political landscapes and the potential impact of “double haters” and Brexit voters on upcoming elections.