In a detailed analysis published by The Irish News (Belfast), journalist Peter McGahan examines the evolving role of the US dollar as a geopolitical instrument rather than merely a global reserve currency. His exploration focuses on the deliberate “weaponisation” of the dollar by the United States and its allies, highlighting the significant consequences this has had on international finance and sovereign wealth.

Since at least 2014, McGahan notes, countries such as Russia have been preparing for a financial future less dependent on the dollar. These preparations have included constructing parallel financial systems, accumulating gold reserves, and reducing exposure to dollar-denominated assets. The motivation behind these moves is rooted in the experience of international monetary coercion and sanction actions that have displayed the political power embedded in currency control.

Tracing this dynamic historically, the article points to examples such as Iran since 1979, Venezuela, and the cases of Saddam Hussein and Muammar Gaddafi, both of whom faced military interventions after attempting to deviate from dollar-based oil sales or financial systems. This context sets the stage for understanding the current geopolitical tensions surrounding the dollar.

The so-called “exorbitant privilege” enjoyed by the United States—the ability to print the world’s reserve currency, to influence global interest rates, and to finance deficits without immediate risk—has traditionally rested on trust in the currency’s political neutrality and reliability. However, McGahan argues this trust suffered a severe blow in 2022 following the US-led freezing of more than $300 billion in Russian central bank reserves amid the conflict in Ukraine. Such a move had not been seen since the Cold War era and broke longstanding conventions about sovereign funds held in neutral institutions.

Significantly, beyond government-held reserves, the freezing and seizure of private assets belonging to Russian oligarchs marked a startling expansion of financial enforcement. The superyacht Phi, owned by a Russian businessman and detained in London, alongside frozen mansions and private jets, illustrated that legal ownership no longer guaranteed asset security when confronted with political sanctions. McGahan highlights the case of Roman Abramovich, whose wealth held in Western banks vanished without legal recourse, underscoring the new reality that “legality is no longer protection. Politics is.”

This shift has had global reverberations, especially among wealthy individuals and governments in the Gulf, Africa, and Southeast Asia who traditionally used Western financial institutions to safeguard wealth from regional instabilities. The defrosting of Venezuelan gold by the Bank of England in 2019, where $1.9 billion was withheld due to political recognition disputes between opposition and incumbent governments, further demonstrated how financial sovereignty was subject to geopolitical considerations beyond mere law.

McGahan contends that these developments have eroded international trust in the dollar as a neutral tool of commerce. Instead, the dollar is now perceived as an instrument enforcing compliance with US foreign policy, where dissent carries the risk of financial exclusion. The freezing of Russian reserves was pivotal not because of its immediate impact on Russia, but because it signalled to other nations that their assets could similarly be frozen.

The reaction has been the acceleration of “dedollarisation,” which McGahan terms not just economic strategy but “monetary self-defence.” While the dollar itself is not collapsing, its dominance is being rerouted, with nations and wealthy individuals increasingly seeking alternatives and building systems outside Washington’s financial reach. This represents a significant realignment in global finance and geopolitics.

McGahan promises a follow-up analysis exploring the steps countries and elites are taking to insulate themselves from dollar dependence.

This detailed report from The Irish News sheds light on the increasingly complex interplay between currency, sovereignty, and international power, offering critical insights into changing global financial dynamics.

Source: Noah Wire Services