Former President Donald Trump is currently leading President Joe Biden in key battleground states ahead of their potential rematch, according to recent polls. These states include Georgia, North Carolina, Nevada, and Arizona—each critical to securing a victory in the upcoming election.

In Georgia, Trump has secured a four-point lead over Biden among registered voters. This advantage is noteworthy given Trump’s backing from both young and Black voters in the state. This occurs despite Trump facing legal challenges in Georgia, indicating a sustained Republican support base.

North Carolina shows Trump with a three-point lead over Biden, highlighted by a significant preference for Trump among independent voters. The state, known for its political swing status, continues to be a significant battleground for the candidates.

Nevada presents a three-point lead for Trump, with demographic differences in candidate support evident. Hispanic voters show a preference for Biden, whereas white voters are more inclined towards Trump. The state’s voters are divided on the re-election prospects of both candidates, with a majority uncertain about Biden deserving a second term, reflecting mixed feelings towards Trump as well since the January 6 insurrection.

In Arizona, Trump leads Biden by four points. The state, which Biden narrowly won in 2020, shows that Trump’s support primarily comes from personal affinity or specific issues. Conversely, a considerable part of Biden’s support originates from voters’ dislike of Trump rather than enthusiasm for Biden. The outcome in Arizona, like the other states, is expected to be significantly impacted by independent voters and their perceptions of the candidates.

These polls suggest a competitive race in these key battleground states, with outcomes likely influenced by independent voter sentiments and the contrasting bases of support for each candidate.